Macro & Commodities Desk

Name: Macro & Commodities Desk
Author: predictionmarketspicks

作者：predictionmarketspicks版本 1.2.0i★ 0i在云端运行

注册名称com.predictionmarketspicks/commodities

安装

概览

作者提供的说明（英文原文）

Kalshi macro: Fed rate odds, gold, silver, oil and bitcoin edges, 15-min markets, Kelly sizing.

PopNx MCP 的三大支柱

这三项永远不会合并成一个分数：意见、测量和人气是不同的东西。

用户评价i暂无评价评价功能将在后续阶段与账户功能一起开放
我们的基础检查i4 项中通过 4 项依据公开信息检查；尚未扫描代码
使用情况i起步阶段★ 0

它能帮你做什么

我们还没有为它写通俗的介绍。下面是我们从注册中心读取到的事实。

连接方式: 在云端运行
传输方式: Streamable HTTP
分类: 加密货币与区块链

安装

选择你使用的 AI 应用，然后复制设置。

安装之前

基础检查：4 项中通过 4 项
在作者的服务器上运行：你向它提出的内容会经过他们的服务器。
可以做 10 件事（工具） fifteen_min_board, perps_board, perp_liquidation, commodity_edge …
注册中心没有列出需要填写的密钥。

你需要

在云端运行无需安装任何东西，通过互联网连接

你用的是哪个应用？

ClaudeClaude CodeCursorVS CodeChatGPT

在上方选择你的应用。我们会记住它，下次按钮会显示“安装到 …”。

适用于网页版、桌面版和手机版 Claude：

打开 Settings → Connectors
点击 Add custom connector
粘贴下面的地址，然后点击 Add
如果要求登录，请登录作者的服务

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry

在终端中运行这条命令

claude mcp add --transport http commodities 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry'

在 Cursor 中打开

或者自己复制设置

粘贴到项目中的 .cursor/mcp.json，或 ~/.cursor/mcp.json

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "commodities": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}

浏览器会先询问是否打开应用，然后应用会显示设置并请你确认。密钥的值会留空，由你自己填写。

在 VS Code 中打开

或者自己复制设置

粘贴到项目中的 .vscode/mcp.json

{
  "servers": {
    "commodities": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}

浏览器会先询问是否打开应用，然后应用会显示设置并请你确认。密钥的值会留空，由你自己填写。

ChatGPT 只能连接互联网上的服务器：

打开网页版 ChatGPT → Settings → Connectors (Apps)
点击 Create 或 Add（部分套餐需要先在 Advanced 中开启 Developer mode）
粘贴下面的地址，起个名字，然后保存
如果要求登录，请登录作者的服务

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry

菜单名称可能因套餐和版本不同而略有差异。

你的选择通过 Cookie 保存在这台设备上，无需账户。

这些设置是根据作者在注册中心的条目生成的。如果 README 的写法不同，请以 README 为准。

哪些应用可以使用它

依据这个服务器的连接方式和各应用自己的文档，检查于 2026年11月10日。

通过互联网连接，适用于

Claude ChatGPT Goose LM Studio Msty Studio Cherry Studio Cursor VS Code + GitHub Copilot Visual Studio Windsurf (Devin Desktop)Zed Kiro Cline Continue JetBrains AI Assistant Claude Code Codex CLI Gemini CLI OpenCode nodecode Warp LibreChat Open WebUI Raycast

全部应用及其优缺点 →

它能做什么

工具名称和描述与服务器在 2026年11月8日报告的完全一致。这些内容由作者撰写，不是我们写的；我们以纯文本形式显示。

fifteen_min_board
Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the sam
perps_board
Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.
perp_liquidation
Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kal
commodity_edge
Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass ticke
market_pulse
The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is
fed_rate_odds
Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarke
base_rate_gap
Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your o
convert_probability
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".
calculate_ev
Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee.
kelly_size
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "

基础检查i

我们检查的是任何人都能看到的信息；我们没有阅读代码。不适用的检查项不计入总数。 · 检查于 2026年11月11日

✓ 通过
作者与仓库一致
注册名称已通过域名 predictionmarketspicks.com 验证（注册中心会核实域名所有权）
✓ 通过
仍在维护
代码最后更新于前天
… 尚未检查
有许可证
我们还没有从 GitHub 读取这个仓库
✓ 通过
端点有响应
在 1035 毫秒内响应（HTTP 200）
– 不适用
使用 OAuth 登录
无需登录
✓ 通过
工具描述中没有隐藏指令
已读取 10 个工具描述，未发现针对 AI 的隐藏指令

与“加密货币与区块链”中的其他服务器比较i

星标数多于此分类中其他 1635 个服务器的 0%
发布到注册中心的时间比此分类中其他 1635 个服务器的 63% 更新
基础检查结果等于或优于此分类中其他 1635 个服务器的 100%

与注册中心里这个分类中所有活跃的服务器比较。只有当发布者拥有该仓库时，星标数才计入。

常见问题

Macro & Commodities Desk 安全吗？

它在 4 项适用的基础检查中通过了 4 项。我们没有阅读代码。在添加密钥或令牌之前，请先看看这个服务器要求哪些权限，并使用只具备所需权限的密钥。

它需要哪些密钥或代码？

注册中心没有列出必需的密钥，不过有些服务器会在首次使用时要求你登录。

它在我的电脑上运行还是在云端？

它在作者的云端运行。通过互联网连接，无需安装，但你发送的内容会经过作者的服务器。

它还在维护吗？

GitHub 仓库最后更新于前天，最新版本（1.2.0）于29天前进入注册中心。

哪些应用可以使用它？

支持 MCP 的应用，例如 Claude Desktop、Claude Code、Cursor 和 VS Code。它通过 URL 连接，所以接受远程 MCP 服务器的应用也可以使用，例如开启开发者模式的 ChatGPT。

有什么可以替代它？

同一分类中有：Solana MCP by Vybe, Solana MCP by Vybe, Oracle3 prediction-market arbitrage checks

替代选择

同一分类中其他作者的服务器，按星标数排序。

如何看卡片：↓ 每周下载量i★ GitHub 星标i三大支柱：评价 · 检查 · 使用情况i更新 = 最新版本发布到注册中心的时间i

Solana MCP by Vybe

Solana MCP developer toolkit: wallets, trades, markets, PnL, transfers, onchain, swaps & API tools.

作者：vybenetwork广泛使用★ 25996个月前更新

在云端运行

安装

Solana MCP by Vybe

Solana MCP for wallets, trades, markets, PnL, transfers, onchain data, signable swaps and API tools.

作者：vybenetwork广泛使用★ 25997个月前更新

在云端运行

安装

Oracle3 prediction-market arbitrage checks

Kalshi and Polymarket data, venue fees, no-arbitrage checks and paper execution for AI agents.

作者：YichengYang-Ethan正在增长↓ 35/周★ 56841天前更新

在你的电脑上运行

安装

作者的 README

打开 README

按原文从作者的仓库复制。PopNx MCP 没有审查或背书其内容。HTML、图片和脚本已被移除。链接会离开本站。

Hosted endpoint + full tool list: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp?utm_source=github&utm_medium=repo&utm_campaign=mcp-readme

PredictionMarketsPicks MCP

Canonical home: predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp — docs, setup, the live wall and the per-tool track record. This repo is the bridge and the offline calculators; the server lives on the site.

A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, Fed rate odds, Kalshi's 15-minute markets and perps (with liquidation estimates), live edge signals, and the in-season NFL model: power ratings, win probability, The Ladder, the weekly prop board and game/prop edges.

Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it — per tool, wins and losses both, including the engines that lose money. The live record: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record

Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm
Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (MCP registry)
40 tools on the main endpoint (/api/mcp/mcp), 45 across the two hosted servers: the fantasy-draft server adds adp_market_gaps, best_available, compare_players, draft_board and who_do_i_draft. No key needed for the free set. Counts read from the live tools/list on 2026-11-03.
Fantasy draft landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board. During the season all eight answer week-by-week NFL market questions instead of draft questions.

See it work

Gemini CLI: install in one command, ask which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open. (47s demo · setup)
Kalshi vs Polymarket, in one question: ask where the two venues disagree, then whether they agree on the next Fed meeting. (50s demo · setup guide)
Kalshi 15-minute gold & Bitcoin + the BTC perp: live boards and perp funding in one chat. (48s demo · commodity markets)
Claude, ChatGPT & Cursor: paste one URL and ask. (40s demo · Cursor setup)
Kalshi weather edges + Kelly sizing: forecast vs market, then the position size, in one chat. (46s demo · weather)

Connect

One click: Add to Cursor · Add to VS Code · Gemini CLI: gemini extensions install https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp

Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm

Hosts that only speak stdio — this package bridges one to the other:

"mcpServers": { "predictionmarketspicks": { "command": "npx", "args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"] } } }

That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 40 tools on the main endpoint, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMP_API_KEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp            # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft # bridge to the fantasy-draft server npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all

--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the NFL model, or anything that reads a market.

Other hosted surfaces (same registry, same tool objects, different selection — no separate install):

Server	Endpoint	Exposes
`com.predictionmarketspicks/quant`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm`	40 tools
`com.predictionmarketspicks/fantasy-draft`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-draft/mcp?via=github`	11 tools: the 8 draft tools (all answer in season with the week's market) plus the in-season league tools `my_league`, `start_sit` and `waiver_targets`
`com.predictionmarketspicks/weather`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=github`	The 7-tool weather loop: `weather_board` (every open Kalshi daily-high strike) + `edge_alerts` (weather feed) + the five calculators
`com.predictionmarketspicks/commodities`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=github`	The 10-tool macro & commodities desk: `fifteen_min_board`, `perps_board`, `perp_liquidation`, `commodity_edge` (gold / silver / oil / bitcoin), `fed_rate_odds`, `market_pulse`, `base_rate_gap` + three calculators
`com.predictionmarketspicks/elections`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=github`	The election odds desk: `senate_map`, `race_odds`, `best_price` (every 2026 Senate, governor and House race on Kalshi), `fed_rate_odds`, `market_pulse`
`com.predictionmarketspicks/crypto`	`https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=github`	The crypto desk: `fifteen_min_board`, `perps_board`, `perp_liquidation`, `commodity_edge` (bitcoin) + three calculators

Tools

Free tools need no key. Pro tools read the live PMP edge engines and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key ($14.99/mo). Deeper results on the list-shaped tools unlock instantly and free — no key to copy, nothing to install: unlock here.

Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via `--local`

Tool	What it does
`calculate_ev`	Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
`kelly_size`	Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating.
`bayes_update`	Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence; returns the posterior and the per-step chain.
`convert_probability`	Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds.
`base_rate_gap`	Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample quality.
`combo_edge`	Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, correlation-aware joint probability, negative-correlation trap flag.

Markets — free

Tool	What it does
`fed_rate_odds`	Live Kalshi-implied odds of a Fed rate cut, hold or hike at each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting, plus the next meeting and the current fed funds rate.
`fifteen_min_board`	Every Kalshi 15-minute series live — crypto, gold, silver, oil, natural gas, copper, currencies — with the open window's YES price, close time, settlement source, and how the last 96 windows settled.
`perps_board`	Every Kalshi perp — price, volume, open interest, max leverage, and what funding has cost a long since launch.
`perp_liquidation`	Where a leveraged Kalshi perp position liquidates (an estimate from Kalshi's published risk parameters), with fees and funding over the hold.
`weather_board`	Every open Kalshi daily-high temperature strike in 13 cities — YES price, settlement station, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it.

Politics — free

Tool	What it does
`senate_map`	Every 2026 Senate seat — holder, structure rating, forecaster ratings and the live Kalshi price, closest race first. Unpriced seats return null, never an estimate.
`race_odds`	Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race (by state or district, e.g. "TX-34") — every leg's price, volume and link, plus the forecaster ratings.
`best_price`	Where the same contract is cheapest after fees — Kalshi vs Polymarket US vs Novig — for a sports game, a 2026 race or the next Fed meeting. Ranked by price only.

Markets — free, depth-capped

Tool	What it does
`find_arbitrage`	Cross-venue price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same contract. Largest gap free; whole board on Pro.
`market_pulse`	US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores. Composite always free.

NFL in-season — free

Tool	What it does
`nfl_power_ratings`	PWR for all 32 NFL teams — points per game above an average team on a neutral field, with rank and tier.
`nfl_win_probability`	Turn an NFL spread + total into win probability, projected score, and over/cover probability — or pass two teams to derive the spread.
`nfl_ladder`	The Ladder — every Kalshi strike vs our whole distribution (spreads, season wins, props) with the derived verdict: SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED.
`nfl_prop_board`	This week's NFL prop prices venue by venue — every Kalshi strike vs the book consensus, DraftKings/FanDuel lines, Novig/ProphetX, and where the best price for each side actually is.
`nba_prop_board`	Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike — the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.
`nba_game_board`	Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line — the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only.

| nba_injury_impact | Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes and stats rose without him (with sampl

只显示了开头部分；其余内容请在仓库中阅读

Macro & Commodities Desk

概览

PopNx MCP 的三大支柱

它能帮你做什么

安装

安装之前

哪些应用可以使用它

它能做什么

基础检查i

作者与仓库一致

仍在维护

有许可证

端点有响应

使用 OAuth 登录

工具描述中没有隐藏指令

与“加密货币与区块链”中的其他服务器比较i

常见问题

替代选择

Solana MCP by Vybe

Solana MCP by Vybe

Oracle3 prediction-market arbitrage checks

作者的 README

PredictionMarketsPicks MCP

See it work

Connect

Tools

Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via --local

Markets — free

Politics — free

Markets — free, depth-capped

NFL in-season — free

Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via `--local`