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Macro & Commodities Desk

by predictionmarketspicksversion 1.2.0i★ –iRuns in the cloud
Registry namecom.predictionmarketspicks/commodities

Install

Overview

Description from the maker (original English)

Kalshi macro: Fed rate odds, gold, silver, oil and bitcoin edges, 15-min markets, Kelly sizing.

PopNx MCP’s three pillars

These three are never merged into one score: opinions, measurements and popularity are different things.

What you can do with it

We have not written a plain-language summary for this one yet. Below are the facts we read from the registry.

Install

Pick the AI app you use, then copy the settings.

Before you install

  • Basic checks: 1 of 1 passed
  • Runs on the maker’s server: what you ask it goes through their server.
  • The registry lists no key to fill in.

You need

Which app do you use?

Pick your app above. We remember it, so next time the button says “Install in …”.

Works in Claude on the web, desktop and mobile:

  1. Open Settings → Connectors
  2. Press Add custom connector
  3. Paste the address below and press Add
  4. If it asks you to sign in, sign in with the maker
SettingsConnectors1+ Add2https://…3
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry

Run this in your terminal

claude mcp add --transport http commodities 'https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry'

Open in Cursor

Or copy the settings yourself

Paste into .cursor/mcp.json in your project, or ~/.cursor/mcp.json

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "commodities": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}

Your browser asks to open the app, then the app shows the settings and asks you to confirm. Key values are left empty for you to fill in.

Open in VS Code

Or copy the settings yourself

Paste into .vscode/mcp.json in your project

{
  "servers": {
    "commodities": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry"
    }
  }
}

Your browser asks to open the app, then the app shows the settings and asks you to confirm. Key values are left empty for you to fill in.

ChatGPT connects only to servers on the internet:

  1. Open ChatGPT on the web → Settings → Connectors (Apps)
  2. Press Create or Add (some plans need Developer mode under Advanced first)
  3. Paste the address below, give it a name and save
  4. If it asks you to sign in, sign in with the maker
SettingsConnectors1+ Create2https://…3
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry

Menu names can differ slightly by plan and over time.

Your choice stays on this device in a cookie; no account needed.

These settings are generated from the maker’s registry entry. If the README says otherwise, follow the README.

What it can do

We have not read this server’s tool list yet; we check endpoints in rotation.

Basic checksi

We check information anyone can see; we have not read the code. Checks that do not apply are left out of the count. · Checked Nov 6, 2026

  • ✓ Pass

    Maker matches the repo

    The registry name was verified against the domain predictionmarketspicks.com (the registry checks domain ownership)

  • … Not checked yet

    Still maintained

    We have not read this repo from GitHub yet

  • … Not checked yet

    Has a licence

    We have not read this repo from GitHub yet

  • … Not checked yet

    Endpoint responds

    Not checked yet; we check endpoints in rotation

  • … Not checked yet

    Sign-in with OAuth

    Not checked yet; we check endpoints in rotation

  • … Not checked yet

    No hidden instructions in tool descriptions

    Not checked yet; we read the tool list when we check the endpoint

Compared with others in Otheri

  • More stars than 0% of the other 32497 servers in this category
  • Published to the registry more recently than 61% of the other 32497 servers in this category
  • Basic checks equal to or better than 100% of the other 32497 servers in this category

Compared with every active server in this category in the registry. Stars count only when the publisher owns the repo.

Common questions

Is Macro & Commodities Desk safe?

It passed 1 of 1 applicable basic checks. We have not read the code. Before adding a key or token, see what access the server asks for and use a key with only the permissions you need.

What keys or codes does it need?

The registry does not list a required key, though some servers ask you to sign in on first use.

Does it run on my computer or in the cloud?

It runs in the maker’s cloud. Connect over the internet with nothing to install, but what you send passes through the maker’s servers.

Is it still maintained?

The GitHub repo last changed –, and the latest version (1.2.0) reached the registry 25 days ago.

Which apps can use it?

Apps that support MCP, such as Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor and VS Code. It connects by URL, so apps that accept remote MCP servers work too, such as ChatGPT in developer mode.

What can I use instead?

In the same category: Spec Driven Development, Remote Desktop Commander, Zoo MCP

Alternatives

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README from the maker

Open the README

Copied from the maker’s repo as written. PopNx MCP has not reviewed or endorsed it. HTML, images and scripts are removed. Links lead off this site.

Hosted endpoint + full tool list: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp?utm_source=github&utm_medium=repo&utm_campaign=mcp-readme

PredictionMarketsPicks MCP

Canonical home: predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp — docs, setup, the live wall and the per-tool track record. This repo is the bridge and the offline calculators; the server lives on the site.

A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, Fed rate odds, Kalshi's 15-minute markets and perps (with liquidation estimates), live edge signals, and the in-season NFL model: power ratings, win probability, The Ladder, the weekly prop board and game/prop edges.

Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it — per tool, wins and losses both, including the engines that lose money. The live record: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record

  • Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm
  • Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (MCP registry)
  • 40 tools on the main endpoint (/api/mcp/mcp), 45 across the two hosted servers: the fantasy-draft server adds adp_market_gaps, best_available, compare_players, draft_board and who_do_i_draft. No key needed for the free set. Counts read from the live tools/list on 2026-11-03.
  • Fantasy draft landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board. During the season all eight answer week-by-week NFL market questions instead of draft questions.

See it work

  • Gemini CLI: install in one command, ask which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open. (47s demo · setup)
  • Kalshi vs Polymarket, in one question: ask where the two venues disagree, then whether they agree on the next Fed meeting. (50s demo · setup guide)
  • Kalshi 15-minute gold & Bitcoin + the BTC perp: live boards and perp funding in one chat. (48s demo · commodity markets)
  • Claude, ChatGPT & Cursor: paste one URL and ask. (40s demo · Cursor setup)
  • Kalshi weather edges + Kelly sizing: forecast vs market, then the position size, in one chat. (46s demo · weather)

Connect

One click: Add to Cursor · Add to VS Code · Gemini CLI: gemini extensions install https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp

Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm

Hosts that only speak stdio — this package bridges one to the other:

{

"mcpServers": { "predictionmarketspicks": { "command": "npx", "args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"] } } }

That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 40 tools on the main endpoint, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMP_API_KEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp            # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)

npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft # bridge to the fantasy-draft server npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all

--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the NFL model, or anything that reads a market.

Other hosted surfaces (same registry, same tool objects, different selection — no separate install):

ServerEndpointExposes
com.predictionmarketspicks/quanthttps://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm40 tools
com.predictionmarketspicks/fantasy-drafthttps://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-draft/mcp?via=github11 tools: the 8 draft tools (all answer in season with the week's market) plus the in-season league tools my_league, start_sit and waiver_targets
com.predictionmarketspicks/weatherhttps://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=githubThe 7-tool weather loop: weather_board (every open Kalshi daily-high strike) + edge_alerts (weather feed) + the five calculators
com.predictionmarketspicks/commoditieshttps://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=githubThe 10-tool macro & commodities desk: fifteen_min_board, perps_board, perp_liquidation, commodity_edge (gold / silver / oil / bitcoin), fed_rate_odds, market_pulse, base_rate_gap + three calculators
com.predictionmarketspicks/electionshttps://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-elections/mcp?via=githubThe election odds desk: senate_map, race_odds, best_price (every 2026 Senate, governor and House race on Kalshi), fed_rate_odds, market_pulse
com.predictionmarketspicks/cryptohttps://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-crypto/mcp?via=githubThe crypto desk: fifteen_min_board, perps_board, perp_liquidation, commodity_edge (bitcoin) + three calculators

Tools

Free tools need no key. Pro tools read the live PMP edge engines and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key ($14.99/mo). Deeper results on the list-shaped tools unlock instantly and free — no key to copy, nothing to install: unlock here.

Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via --local
ToolWhat it does
calculate_evExpected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
kelly_sizeKelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating.
bayes_updateUpdate a prior with one or more pieces of evidence; returns the posterior and the per-step chain.
convert_probabilityConvert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds.
base_rate_gapCompare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample quality.
combo_edgeGrade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, correlation-aware joint probability, negative-correlation trap flag.
Markets — free
ToolWhat it does
fed_rate_oddsLive Kalshi-implied odds of a Fed rate cut, hold or hike at each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting, plus the next meeting and the current fed funds rate.
fifteen_min_boardEvery Kalshi 15-minute series live — crypto, gold, silver, oil, natural gas, copper, currencies — with the open window's YES price, close time, settlement source, and how the last 96 windows settled.
perps_boardEvery Kalshi perp — price, volume, open interest, max leverage, and what funding has cost a long since launch.
perp_liquidationWhere a leveraged Kalshi perp position liquidates (an estimate from Kalshi's published risk parameters), with fees and funding over the hold.
weather_boardEvery open Kalshi daily-high temperature strike in 13 cities — YES price, settlement station, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it.
Politics — free
ToolWhat it does
senate_mapEvery 2026 Senate seat — holder, structure rating, forecaster ratings and the live Kalshi price, closest race first. Unpriced seats return null, never an estimate.
race_oddsLive Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race (by state or district, e.g. "TX-34") — every leg's price, volume and link, plus the forecaster ratings.
best_priceWhere the same contract is cheapest after fees — Kalshi vs Polymarket US vs Novig — for a sports game, a 2026 race or the next Fed meeting. Ranked by price only.
Markets — free, depth-capped
ToolWhat it does
find_arbitrageCross-venue price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same contract. Largest gap free; whole board on Pro.
market_pulseUS macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores. Composite always free.
NFL in-season — free
ToolWhat it does
nfl_power_ratingsPWR for all 32 NFL teams — points per game above an average team on a neutral field, with rank and tier.
nfl_win_probabilityTurn an NFL spread + total into win probability, projected score, and over/cover probability — or pass two teams to derive the spread.
nfl_ladderThe Ladder — every Kalshi strike vs our whole distribution (spreads, season wins, props) with the derived verdict: SHAPE, LOCATION or PRICED.
nfl_prop_boardThis week's NFL prop prices venue by venue — every Kalshi strike vs the book consensus, DraftKings/FanDuel lines, Novig/ProphetX, and where the best price for each side actually is.
nba_prop_boardEvery Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike — the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.
nba_game_boardKalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line — the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only.

| nba_injury_impact | Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes and stats rose without him (with sampl

Only the beginning is shown; read the rest in the repo

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